GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

SD Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.1 against 48.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SD Raiders

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SD RaidersNWS Spirit
50.0Attack41.7
44.0Defence56.0
45.2Form44.0
48.1Power48.0
1.43xG1.29
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