New South Wales NPLNew South Wales NPL
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:11
SD Raiders

SD Raiders

Home
W
21
Full time
Marconi Stallions

Marconi Stallions

Away
W
Ernie Smith Reserve
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Marconi Stallions(40%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
SD Raiders
35%
Draw
26%
Marconi Stallions
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SD Raiders
73
Marconi Stallions
94
Defence
SD Raiders
66
Marconi Stallions
91
Momentum
SD Raiders
100
Marconi Stallions
100
Danger (xG)
SD Raiders
1.80
Marconi Stallions
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (SD Raiders)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Marconi Stallions)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (SD Raiders)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Marconi Stallions)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SD RaidersSD Raiders
WLD
Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
SD Raiders35%
Draw26%
Marconi Stallions40%

Marconi Stallions leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

SD Raiders head into this in New South Wales NPL fixture at Ernie Smith Reserve in mixed form (W), while Marconi Stallions arrive in mixed form (W). SD Raiders have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Marconi Stallions over 1 games.

Tactically, Marconi Stallions hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid SD Raiders defence (66/100), while SD Raiders's attack faces a watertight Marconi Stallions backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

SD Raiders have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Marconi Stallions have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between SD Raiders and Marconi Stallions in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Marconi Stallions to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: SD Raiders 3450%, Draw 2585%, Marconi Stallions 3965%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

SD Raiders

SD Raiders

W
@ Rochedale Rovers
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Sydney FC U23
30 Jun 2026
01
D
vs Sutherland Sharks
16 May 2026
22
Marconi Stallions

Marconi Stallions

W
@ NWS Spirit
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

GoalVio's model predicts Marconi Stallions to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more