SD Raidersvs
Macarthur
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SD Raiders are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macarthur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Macarthur hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Australia Cup, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SD Raiders
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
9.4%
SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20