SD Logroñésvs
Olot
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SD Logroñés · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SD Logroñés 0-2 Olot
Original prediction
SD Logroñés
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 37.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.7% | 28.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 29.9% | 34.5% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SD Logroñés
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
SD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60