SD Logroñésvs
Náxara
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SD Logroñés · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SD Logroñés 1-1 Náxara
Original prediction
SD Logroñés
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 37.1% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.5% | 34.2% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
SD Logroñés
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
SD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60