SD Logroñésvs
Girona II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SD Logroñés · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SD Logroñés 2-2 Girona II
Original prediction
SD Logroñés
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.4% | 36.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.8% | 28.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 30.8% | 35.6% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
SD Logroñés
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
SD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20