Scunthorpevs
Forest Green
POSTPONEDEngland · National League · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forest Green · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.4% | 35.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.4% | 25.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.1% | 39.2% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Forest Green
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Forest Green has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ScunthorpeLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Forest GreenDDLDW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ScunthorpeForest Green
45.5Attack51.5
42.4Defence45.5
30.3Form45.5
40.4Power48.8
1.56xG1.68