Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 31 July 202619:30Updated today
Scunthorpe

Scunthorpe

Home
W
vs
19:30
Chesterfield

Chesterfield

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Chesterfield33%
Scunthorpe33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Scunthorpe
33%
Draw
33%
Chesterfield
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Scunthorpe
34
Chesterfield
73
Defence
Scunthorpe
91
Chesterfield
6
Momentum
Scunthorpe
100
Chesterfield
0
Danger (xG)
Scunthorpe
0.90
Chesterfield
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Scunthorpe)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Chesterfield)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Scunthorpe)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Chesterfield)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ScunthorpeScunthorpe
W
ChesterfieldChesterfield
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Scunthorpe33%
Draw33%
Chesterfield33%

Chesterfield leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Scunthorpe head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Chesterfield arrive in mixed form (L). Scunthorpe have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Chesterfield over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Scunthorpe's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Chesterfield defence (6/100), while Chesterfield's attack is up against a watertight Scunthorpe backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Scunthorpe's favour.

Scunthorpe have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Chesterfield have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Scunthorpe and Chesterfield in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Scunthorpe 3333%, Draw 3333%, Chesterfield 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Scunthorpe

Scunthorpe

W
@ Skegness Town
15 Jul 2026
10
Chesterfield

Chesterfield

L
@ FC Halifax Town
14 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Notts County
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more