Scunthorpevs
Boreham Wood
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scunthorpe 1-2 Boreham Wood
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 21.9% | 23.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.9% | 22.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.2% | 54.3% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00