GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SCR Altach · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna

Original prediction

SCR Altach

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2242.0%44.3%2.3 pts
Draw3.4427.2%26.4%-0.8 pts
Away3.0330.8%29.3%-1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

SCR Altach

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

SCR Altach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SCR AltachLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Austria ViennaLLWDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SCR AltachAustria Vienna
29.6Attack33.3
48.1Defence33.3
22.2Form25.9
34.7Power33.8
1.31xG0.99
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