GGOALVIO

World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/13/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Scotland W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Scotland W 3-2 Czechia W

Original prediction

Scotland W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5159.6%49.0%-10.6 pts
Draw3.6524.6%26.2%1.6 pts
Away5.7115.8%24.8%9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Scotland W

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Scotland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Scotland WWWWDD

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Czechia WLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Scotland WCzechia W
100.0Attack85.7
90.5Defence52.4
81.0Form52.4
84.8Power60.2
2.68xG1.44
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