Scotlandvs
Switzerland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scotland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scotland 0-3 Switzerland
Original prediction
Scotland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.25 | 22.1% | 42.3% | 20.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 50.3% | 30.8% | -19.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Scotland
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Scotland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20