Scotland U21vs
Azerbaijan U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scotland U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scotland U21 5-2 Azerbaijan U21
Original prediction
Scotland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 78.0% | 61.7% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.23 | 14.6% | 22.0% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 12.35 | 7.4% | 16.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Scotland U21
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Scotland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60