Scotland U19vs
Ukraine U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scotland U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scotland U19 0-2 Ukraine U19
Original prediction
Scotland U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.2% | 47.6% | 15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.8% | 24.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.0% | 27.5% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Scotland U19
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Scotland U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20