Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schwaz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Schwaz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Wörgl are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 8.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaz hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Schwaz holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Schwaz
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Schwaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 0 · GA 17 · avg 0.00/8.50