Schwarz-Weiß Bregenzvs
Floridsdorfer AC
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Floridsdorfer AC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 4-0 Floridsdorfer AC
Original prediction
Floridsdorfer AC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.9% | 30.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.1% | 26.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.0% | 43.3% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Floridsdorfer AC
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Floridsdorfer AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20