Schwabmünchenvs
Erlbach
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Schwabmünchen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (21.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80