GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Schwabmünchen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (21.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SchwabmünchenDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SchwabmünchenErlbach
20.0Attack46.7
26.7Defence73.3
6.7Form53.3
21.6Power58.6
0.92xG1.89
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