GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/28/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sonthofen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgWLWDL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SonthofenLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Schwaben AugsburgSonthofen
74.5Attack52.0
65.7Defence51.0
65.7Form44.1
66.9Power49.7
2.50xG0.94
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