GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/7/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Schwaben AugsburgRain / Lech
74.5Attack42.2
65.7Defence47.1
65.7Form43.1
66.9Power46.1
2.73xG0.76
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