GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/25/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pipinsried are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pipinsried hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgLDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PipinsriedDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgPipinsried
74.5Attack100.0
65.7Defence73.3
65.7Form100.0
66.9Power89.8
1.79xG1.39
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