GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/10/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nordlingen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenDDWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgNordlingen
74.5Attack64.7
65.7Defence51.0
65.7Form56.9
66.9Power57.5
2.44xG1.20
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