GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

82.8%

Model confidence

82.8%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KotternLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgKottern
74.5Attack33.3
65.7Defence26.7
65.7Form20.0
66.9Power30.3
3.37xG0.72
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