GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgHeimstetten
74.5Attack53.3
65.7Defence53.3
65.7Form46.7
66.9Power53.0
2.48xG0.95
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