GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/11/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgWLDWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ErlbachWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Schwaben AugsburgErlbach
74.5Attack46.7
65.7Defence73.3
65.7Form53.3
66.9Power58.6
1.97xG0.91
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