Schwaben Augsburgvs
Bayreuth
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayreuth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schwaben Augsburg 0-3 Bayreuth
Original prediction
Bayreuth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.2% | 25.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.6% | 46.7% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bayreuth
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Bayreuth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00