GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/20/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Schwaben Augsburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while 1860 München II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schwaben AugsburgWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
1860 München IIDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Schwaben Augsburg1860 München II
74.5Attack93.3
65.7Defence53.3
65.7Form53.3
66.9Power63.7
2.41xG1.27
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