Schott MainzvsBorussia Dortmund

Schott Mainz are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Borussia Dortmund are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Dortmund hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the DFB Pokal, while Borussia Dortmund holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.