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Saturday, 18 July 202611:00Last updated 12:39
Schott Jena

Schott Jena

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Einheit Rudolstadt

Einheit Rudolstadt

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Schott Jena35%
Draw35%
Einheit Rudolstadt30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Schott Jena
35%
Draw
35%
Einheit Rudolstadt
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.42 xG for Schott Jena and 1.28 xG for Einheit Rudolstadt — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.14), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Einheit Rudolstadt)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Einheit Rudolstadt)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Einheit RudolstadtEinheit Rudolstadt
WD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Schott Jena35%
Draw35%
Einheit Rudolstadt30%

Schott Jena leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Schott Jena Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Schott Jena take on Einheit Rudolstadt in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Einheit Rudolstadt

Einheit Rudolstadt

W
vs Arnstadt
15 Jul 2026
42
D
vs RSV Eintracht
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Schott Jena vs Einheit Rudolstadt?

GoalVio's model predicts Schott Jena to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Schott Jena vs Einheit Rudolstadt?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Schott Jena vs Einheit Rudolstadt?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Schott Jena vs Einheit Rudolstadt?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more