Schöningenvs
Weiche Flensburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiche Flensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schöningen 2-1 Weiche Flensburg
Original prediction
Weiche Flensburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.4% | 34.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 24.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.6% | 41.2% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Weiche Flensburg
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60