Schöningenvs
VfB Oldenburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schöningen 1-0 VfB Oldenburg
Original prediction
VfB Oldenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.6% | 34.2% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.0% | 42.7% | -12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
VfB Oldenburg
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40