Schöningenvs
St. Pauli II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schöningen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schöningen 3-2 St. Pauli II
Original prediction
Schöningen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.3% | 57.6% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.9% | 21.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.8% | 20.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Schöningen
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Schöningen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20