Schöningenvs
Hamburger SV II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schöningen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schöningen 1-3 Hamburger SV II
Original prediction
Schöningen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 63.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.6% | 19.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.1% | 17.8% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Schöningen
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Schöningen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20