Scheiblingkirchenvs
Fach-Donaufeld
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scheiblingkirchen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scheiblingkirchen 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld
Original prediction
Scheiblingkirchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 27.8% | 37.9% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.3% | 25.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 47.9% | 36.3% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Scheiblingkirchen
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Scheiblingkirchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40