Schalke 04 IIvs
Sportfreunde Lotte
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schalke 04 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Schalke 04 II 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte
Original prediction
Schalke 04 II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.0% | 61.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.6% | 19.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.4% | 19.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Schalke 04 II
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Schalke 04 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20