GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/21/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Schalding-Heining are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Schalding-HeiningDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ErlbachWDWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Schalding-HeiningErlbach
53.3Attack46.7
33.3Defence73.3
33.3Form53.3
41.8Power58.6
1.28xG1.68
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