GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Scarborough Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Scarborough Athletic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Southport are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Scarborough Athletic hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the National League - North, while Scarborough Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Scarborough Athletic

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

13.6%

Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Scarborough AthleticWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SouthportDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Scarborough AthleticSouthport
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.47xG1.12
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