Scarborough Athleticvs
Southport
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scarborough Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scarborough Athletic 5-1 Southport
Original prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.7% | 45.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.2% | 25.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.1% | 30.0% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Scarborough Athletic
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40