Scarborough Athleticvs
Macclesfield
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scarborough Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Macclesfield
Original prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 20:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.7% | 37.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 27.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.1% | 35.1% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Scarborough Athletic
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80