Scarborough Athleticvs
Bedford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scarborough Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Bedford Town
Original prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.3% | 46.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.6% | 26.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.1% | 27.5% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Scarborough Athletic
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20