Scandiccivs
San Donato Tavarnelle
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone E · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scandicci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scandicci 2-1 San Donato Tavarnelle
Original prediction
Scandicci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.2% | 38.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.6% | 28.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Scandicci
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Scandicci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40