Scafatesevs
Team Altamura
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/27/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scafatese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scafatese 2-0 Team Altamura
Original prediction
Scafatese
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 41.3% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 29.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.9% | 28.8% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Scafatese
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Scafatese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80