Scafatesevs
SS Monopoli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scafatese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Scafatese 0-0 SS Monopoli
Original prediction
Scafatese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.0% | 39.2% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.9% | 29.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 30.9% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Scafatese
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Scafatese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60