GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/4/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

SC Wanderers are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lions are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

74.2%

Model confidence

74.2%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC WanderersWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
LionsD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
SC WanderersLions
39.4Attack86.4
48.5Defence66.7
43.9Form80.3
46.5Power77.2
0.79xG2.73
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