SC Sopronvs
Pápai Perutz
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northwest · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Sopron · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Sopron 3-1 Pápai Perutz
Original prediction
SC Sopron
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.3% | 58.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 20.9% | 23.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 6.54 | 13.8% | 18.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
SC Sopron
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
SC Sopron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60