SC Paderborn 07vs
VfB Stuttgart
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart
Original prediction
VfB Stuttgart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.84 | 19.7% | 37.6% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 20.1% | 24.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 60.2% | 38.3% | -21.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
VfB Stuttgart
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80