SC Paderborn 07vs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg
Original prediction
SC Freiburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 26.9% | 31.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.8% | 26.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 47.3% | 41.9% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80