SC Paderborn 07vs
Hamburger SV
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Paderborn 07 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV
Original prediction
SC Paderborn 07
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 41.4% | 46.4% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.9% | 24.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 32.8% | 28.9% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
SC Paderborn 07
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
SC Paderborn 07 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60