SC Kriensvs
Étoile Carouge
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Kriens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SC Kriens 1-0 Étoile Carouge, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Kriens 4-1 Étoile Carouge
Original prediction
SC Kriens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.6% | 44.4% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 27.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.5% | 28.3% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Projected Score
SC Kriens 1–0 Étoile Carouge
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
SC Kriens
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
SC Kriens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SC KriensDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Étoile CarougeLDLWD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SC KriensÉtoile Carouge
50.0Attack29.2
58.3Defence66.7
45.8Form37.5
51.8Power45.7
1.21xG0.78