SC Kriensvs
Stade Nyonnais
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Kriens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Kriens 3-0 Stade Nyonnais
Original prediction
SC Kriens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 51.7% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.2% | 24.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 20.0% | 23.4% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
SC Kriens
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
SC Kriens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40