GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 9/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SC Kriens 0-2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Original prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9830.7%33.3%2.7 pts
Draw3.7424.4%26.3%1.9 pts
Away2.0344.9%40.4%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC KriensDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SC KriensStade Lausanne-Ouchy
55.6Attack61.1
66.7Defence83.3
55.6Form77.8
59.2Power75.0
1.19xG1.30
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