SC Kriensvs
FC WIL 1900
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Kriens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SC Kriens 1-1 FC WIL 1900
Original prediction
SC Kriens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.6% | 61.0% | 23.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 18.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.7% | 20.6% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
SC Kriens
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
SC Kriens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40